Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.046742 0.055080 0.064411 0.075621 0.088713 0.103515 0.121515
2025-07-06 0.032696 0.043102 0.056046 0.073299 0.095660 0.123631 0.161252
2025-07-13 0.026009 0.037392 0.052752 0.074921 0.106023 0.148025 0.208978
2025-07-20 0.021280 0.032878 0.049620 0.075423 0.114059 0.169604 0.255359
2025-07-27 0.017914 0.029468 0.047150 0.075998 0.121682 0.190987 0.303807
2025-08-03 0.015486 0.026944 0.045421 0.077133 0.129917 0.213894 0.357145
2025-08-10 0.013805 0.025280 0.044683 0.079550 0.140256 0.241063 0.420410
2025-08-17 0.011593 0.022290 0.041216 0.076742 0.141288 0.252900 0.459498
2025-08-24 0.010156 0.020433 0.039393 0.076448 0.146473 0.272152 0.513415
2025-08-31 0.008859 0.018610 0.037332 0.075352 0.149925 0.288559 0.563985
2025-09-07 0.008073 0.017658 0.036757 0.076949 0.158556 0.315289 0.636713
2025-09-14 0.007146 0.016258 0.035085 0.076103 0.162228 0.332944 0.693958
2025-09-21 0.006226 0.014741 0.032993 0.074176 0.163623 0.346642 0.745794
2025-09-28 0.005389 0.013273 0.030792 0.071703 0.163556 0.357419 0.793140
2025-10-05 0.004970 0.012696 0.030449 0.073251 0.172340 0.387557 0.884876
2025-10-12 0.004526 0.011984 0.029691 0.073735 0.178790 0.413415 0.970398
2025-10-19 0.004139 0.011347 0.029012 0.074296 0.185467 0.440505 1.061849
2025-10-26 0.003826 0.010847 0.028588 0.075406 0.193569 0.471719 1.166404
2025-11-02 0.003608 0.010565 0.028666 0.077770 0.205017 0.511973 1.296896
2025-11-09 0.003171 0.009602 0.026852 0.075023 0.203330 0.520830 1.352857
2025-11-16 0.002892 0.009041 0.026018 0.074735 0.207901 0.545405 1.450443
2025-11-23 0.002612 0.008429 0.024953 0.073663 0.210256 0.564712 1.536973
2025-11-30 0.002459 0.008171 0.024839 0.075225 0.219923 0.603746 1.678956